Market Cycle

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DEFINITION:

A market cycle is the recurring pattern of economic expansion, peak, contraction, and recovery that influences investment performance over time.

WHEN AND WHY IT’S USED:

Market cycles are used to describe the natural fluctuations in economic activity and asset prices. They encompass phases such as growth, saturation, decline, and rebound, and are driven by changes in economic indicators, investor sentiment, and external shocks. Recognizing the different phases of a market cycle helps investors anticipate changes and adjust their strategies accordingly.

Financial advisors discuss market cycles to set realistic expectations for performance and to inform tactical asset allocation decisions. By understanding where we are in the cycle, your advisor can recommend strategies—such as shifting toward defensive stocks during downturns or growth-oriented investments during expansions—that align with the current economic environment. This knowledge is crucial for long-term planning and risk management.

IMPORTANCE IN COMMUNICATION:

Discussing market cycles with your advisor is vital for understanding the broader economic context that affects your investments. It enables you to recognize that market fluctuations are normal and to prepare for both downturns and recoveries. Clear dialogue about market cycles helps you stay focused on long-term goals while managing short-term volatility.

Moreover, understanding market cycles allows you to ask informed questions about timing and asset allocation adjustments. This conversation builds a shared perspective on market trends, ensuring that your investment strategy is both proactive and resilient across different economic phases.

EXAMPLES IN CONVERSATION:

“Where do you think we are in the current market cycle, and how should that influence my asset allocation?”

“What adjustments can we make to prepare for the next phase of the market cycle?”

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